South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa970bc88c51c14e1f187a81fb437b66a479dfdc03d995d99eee74e35cb2bea0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 3,394$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 1,764$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 1,122$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 789.56$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…9ecebacked Yes | 37c | 679.44$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 652.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 623.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 38c | 529.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 36c | 490.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 488.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 434.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 64c | 398$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 13c | 376.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 371.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 306.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 13c | 275.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 260.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 226.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 65c | 200.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 69c | 145.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 34c | 126.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 122$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 17c | 113.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 79c | 84.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 62c | 65.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6743backed Yes | 32c | 62.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 37c | 57.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 77c | 52.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…be1cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed No | 65c | 43.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 32c | 41.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 63c | 40.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…d24abacked Yes | 33c | 36.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 37c | 35.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 37c | 35.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 34c | 34.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 23.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…2c46backed No | 68c | 15.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.