South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9ac79cbf006609d9acf042dd3cd8ec016b5810b602511bb82776fc814244b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 75c | 3,994$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 76c | 3,281$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 6c | 2,422$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 2,289$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 3c | 2,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 26c | 1,859$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 1,462$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.02 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes | 25c | 1,165$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 9c | 1,086$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,078$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,012$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.61 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 823.34$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 703.13$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 13c | 649.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 517$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 74c | 515.79$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 9c | 367$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +341.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +125%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 28c | 281.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 54c | 279.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 26c | 268.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 223.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 26c | 215$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 69c | 202.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…795fbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 157$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 122.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 119$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…7facbacked Yes | 22c | 89.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 75.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 19c | 73.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 69.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 27c | 68.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 57.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 38.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 35.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 47c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 75c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 48c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed No | 79c | 22.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 78c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.