TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7179…ced8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Alex Barrena vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnetbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Madrid Open, Qualification: Lola Radivojevic vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.53
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Valerio Aboianbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Tallahassee: Hynek Barton vs Michael Mmohbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Libacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$36.03
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$26.83
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Husseybacked Giles Hussey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$64.78
Santa Cruz: Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.36
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.66
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$27.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.