Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f398f7a9f59be0295c74d8123ce2e92eeccc6d363f7089b9791d3c114b563cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Matias Soto, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto | 17c | 10,288$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Carlos Prado | 71c | 9,404$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matias Soto | 19c | 8,572$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 7,965$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 64c | 7,633$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.17 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matias Soto | 26c | 7,588$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matias Soto | 38c | 5,383$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.69 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 73c | 5,082$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.82 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Matias Soto | 17c | 3,938$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 71c | 3,608$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Matias Soto | 39c | 3,086$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.68 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Matias Soto | 41c | 3,021$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.83 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Matias Soto | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Matias Soto | 38c | 2,514$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.98 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Matias Soto | 22c | 2,306$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.6 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Matias Soto | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Matias Soto | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Matias Soto | 12c | 1,997$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Matias Soto | 25c | 1,703$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 1,648$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.85 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 49c | 1,557$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matias Soto | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Matias Soto | 39c | 1,478$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.37 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 69c | 1,317$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.62 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Matias Soto | 39c | 1,265$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Matias Soto | 27c | 1,003$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 951.41$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.02 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 68c | 927.94$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto | 21c | 815.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Matias Soto | 44c | 748.05$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matias Soto | 26c | 744.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Matias Soto | 38c | 679.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Matias Soto | 22c | 654.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 67c | 581.1$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Juan Carlos Prado | 80c | 535$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matias Soto | 36c | 486$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Matias Soto | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…060bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 448.55$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Carlos Prado | 79c | 439.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Matias Soto | 10c | 423$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 394.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…a512backed Matias Soto | 25c | 390.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Matias Soto | 38c | 388.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Matias Soto | 25c | 365.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Carlos Prado | 56c | 364.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Matias Soto | 13c | 363.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…8084backed Matias Soto | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…aad3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 67c | 349.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Matias Soto | 17c | 341.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 341.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Matias Soto | 12c | 329.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Matias Soto | 38c | 325.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Matias Soto | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…e3febacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matias Soto | 38c | 299.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Matias Soto | 14c | 293.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 68c | 286.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…06e0backed Matias Soto | 38c | 281.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…31a4backed Matias Soto | 38c | 273.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matias Soto | 35c | 262$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 76c | 258.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…02bdbacked Matias Soto | 50c | 255.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Matias Soto | 30c | 247.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Matias Soto | 17c | 236.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Matias Soto | 42c | 227.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Matias Soto | 43c | 224.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1097…aee6backed Matias Soto | 44c | 216.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 76c | 201.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 70c | 192.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Juan Carlos Prado | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…4d99backed Matias Soto | 14c | 177.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Matias Soto | 22c | 175.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Carlos Prado | 69c | 175.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 171.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matias Soto | 37c | 163.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed Juan Carlos Prado | 78c | 157.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…40c4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 76c | 134.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Matias Soto | 43c | 130.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Matias Soto | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Matias Soto | 17c | 125.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 79c | 124.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Juan Carlos Prado | 77c | 119.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…9235backed Matias Soto | 42c | 117.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 47c | 112.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Matias Soto | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 109$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Matias Soto | 21c | 107.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Matias Soto | 32c | 104.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Matias Soto | 11c | 101.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Matias Soto | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Matias Soto | 43c | 99.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Matias Soto | 24c | 99.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Matias Soto | 22c | 95.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Matias Soto | 30c | 91.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Soto vs PradoPrado won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.