TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0888…aad3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 27.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-9.8wins-0.43per pick64cpaid-72.2%equal weight27-0.20 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,732.63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,909.69
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156.71
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,592
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.8%+$406.48
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+30.5%+$77.58
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$125
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$73.21
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$82.68
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$116.54
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$63.65
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$190.17
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.22
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$59.66
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.09
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.82
Alexander Zverev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$52.53
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.46
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$272.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+266.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+266.2%+$66.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$73.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$158.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$751.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.