TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,337,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,337,054 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 810 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked No39c1,450,514$566,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884,508.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes61c400,000$245,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,499.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked Yes0c299,970$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes61c298,630$181,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,378.063946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Yes60c179,905$107,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,943616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes61c150,000$91,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,50024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bc…a49ebacked No45c148,077$67,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,053.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c127,795$58,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,184.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes61c109,262$66,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,649.821533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed No37c105,000$38,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,149.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes0c100,175$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c1…e73cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes0c99,880$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.885022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes62c76,000$47,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,119.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No38c70,000$26,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,4003452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e1…2ff4backed Yes0c64,931$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.341050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c60,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00051750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes63c54,883$34,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,764.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5e…3b08backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes0c37,216$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c30,488$19,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,154.0785748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No37c30,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,899.9716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…bfb4backed Yes0c29,587$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c27,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a3…3823backed Yes0c24,810$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9834…ca19backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes34c17,100$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8444148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…adbabacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…d0aabacked Yes0c14,760$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c13,509$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,889.941,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes5c12,825$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.2613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No35c12,087$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,825.4411149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Yes0c11,147$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3886…92fbbacked Yes1c10,381$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7f…b882backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa13d…9ef2backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5c…48b6backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102040%8 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c8,349$5,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,175.632,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes62c8,117$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes62c8,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb640…86b1backed Yes65c7,415$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e33…7c3fbacked Yes1c7,113$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes42c7,090$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes61c7,070$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.717745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes69c7,037$4,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.9128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c6,745$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.231,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No36c6,444$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes53c5,970$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.5623350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes33c5,385$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252b…e47fbacked Yes0c5,025$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes54c4,672$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes60c4,333$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6016953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes62c4,053$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.4856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No67c3,999$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.2442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c3,948$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.239856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c3,782$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No35c3,779$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.312548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No57c3,766$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.4720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes41c3,533$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.744440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes19c3,388$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes35c3,311$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.8846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes59c3,061$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.813767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes49c3,042$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.3445936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No58c3,019$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.775851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes33c3,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8603557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.989256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes53c2,957$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.373630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No39c2,924$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.86240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a8…6c88backed Yes56c2,919$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes41c2,731$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.925534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes57c2,633$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,472$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.964,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449d…fee5backed Yes50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes49c2,223$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.466549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes69c2,179$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No32c2,170$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.341,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe570…b4fabacked Yes2c2,080$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.392245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c1,999$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.451,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes52c1,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No32c1,752$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.031,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes21c1,751$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.817116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes63c1,567$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.522958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes64c1,559$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c1,528$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.371,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes60c1,523$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.772857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce6…155dbacked Yes63c1,508$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No39c1,500$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.2682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Yes63c1,358$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Yes34c1,308$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes63c1,279$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.776150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c1,243$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.432,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.