TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,263 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9834…ca19backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5c…48b6backed Yes0c10,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452040%8 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7f…b882backed Yes0c10,158$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3886…92fbbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x252b…e47fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed No77c9,617$7,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes13c8,882$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.6220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes21c8,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6403339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Yes0c7,114$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes14c6,349$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.6828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes40c5,391$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea9…b90dbacked Yes0c5,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+83.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes21c4,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes16c3,959$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.4456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No79c3,555$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.7542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes14c3,050$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…5a77backed Yes13c2,490$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.750%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes4c2,314$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes13c2,272$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5663…63c1backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0240…834ebacked Yes12c1,624$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes18c1,388$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.736446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c1,309$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4728633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed Yes13c1,287$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.142030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes18c1,272$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c1,220$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…3f69backed Yes68c1,206$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes16c1,203$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes9c951.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0323325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes6c803.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes12c800$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked No79c749.61$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.441060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes15c699.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes13c677.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8526344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes15c666.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes16c638.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes16c629.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.777116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed Yes17c593.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes28c530$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.824440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes30c515.28$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.341513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes14c511.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.652737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes41c500$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.112548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Yes16c431.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes16c419.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.121,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes13c417$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2127227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…8f69backed Yes15c403.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608043.8%35 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2031…4059backed Yes13c379.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+210.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes18c365.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes16c363.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Yes18c339.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes16c328.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1118124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes14c324.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f69…5cecbacked Yes15c323$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c321.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes15c314.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.956720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No64c311.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5910232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes17c307.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.217534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x442a…1bc7backed Yes13c292.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes16c290$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…155dbacked Yes16c281.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2e…e9a4backed Yes12c280$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes18c275$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd5…09c2backed Yes63c264.16$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes17c263.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45c…488abacked Yes15c254.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.57647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed Yes16c239.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…8b0abacked Yes46c238.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9f31backed Yes17c236.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No68c229.78$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5310757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes7c228.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes13c225.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes11c217.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.237718.2%14 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No34c214.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.719246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c5d…f965backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7781…ec06backed Yes14c207.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6619128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes30c190$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…31f9backed Yes16c183.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a6…504fbacked Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No34c161.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.762441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa92f…58b4backed Yes17c157.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.