TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,141 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed No29c12,323$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.4246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c9,786$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.681,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c4,704$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No58c3,535$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.4242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes29c1,530$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.1882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No19c1,282$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes37c1,282$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.914233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes49c1,219$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes37c1,182$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.071764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c1,101$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.881,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No78c941.44$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.3215344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c903.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.361,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes29c833.31$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.651827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.298737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes20c652.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.1621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No71c612.05$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.34037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c563.37$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.052,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No46c550.74$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c523.18$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.991,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes20c455.47$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9953…4fa0backed Yes22c410.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.911225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes46c396.43$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1423632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes29c347.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No40c333.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1445142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes49c325.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.376056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No22c307.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes77c299$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No44c296$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.374440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe683…5578backed Yes73c280.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Yes79c270$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No34c259.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.189541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes78c256.33$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce6…155dbacked Yes22c228.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.311457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14015735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb74d…3f69backed Yes70c194.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd295…f12ebacked Yes40c179.08$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.451822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No60c162.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7cd…8b0abacked Yes67c162.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes67c149.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes70c143.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c141.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9173258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes30c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes29c131.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.034930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdad…f369backed Yes49c130.61$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Yes77c128.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.571060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes63c114.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+91.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.642334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4511527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbec3…360dbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes18c98.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.18943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No36c96.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5251516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes28c92.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.866541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…5688backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes62c89.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes21c87.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes29c85.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.958342.2%35 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes51c82.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.323630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c77.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes63c76.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.146741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No31c71.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.326028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes64c71.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No80c70$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes30c68.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.563557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3447…95d0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes66c65.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes19c62.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+83.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No42c59.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.995448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a2…0a44backed Yes19c57.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc12…b778backed Yes35c57.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Yes29c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.052045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbf…2943backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011637.1%43 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07e…9851backed Yes50c49.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes43c49.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No23c46.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6919441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ea…b369backed Yes38c42.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes63c40.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9919455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe570…b4fabacked Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160f…ef97backed Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked No28c38.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…ef00backed No79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed No75c33.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No79c32.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8941956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Yes48c32.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.