TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7e3…9b30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 66 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+243.5%+$413.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$54.17
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+245.8%+$358.88
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+314.1%+$282.65
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.36
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.99
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+833.2%+$863.98
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$246.54
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+564.2%+$1,028.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.3wins+0.33per pick30cpaid+162.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+347.9%+$114.87
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,071.9%+$686
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$24.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$91.61
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.89
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+599.2%+$1,191.21
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$80.54
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.4%+$83.02
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+90.5%+$108.63
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+562.4%+$224.96
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+203%+$162.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+169.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$176.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.