NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe03d4c04bf816464a1a5c18a229b5805f4b14b72d65dafea77d79edf38ab3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,503,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,608,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,503,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bulls | 24c | 328,552$80,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,114.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 74c | 134,711$99,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,863.17 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bulls | 29c | 125,000$36,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,250 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Nuggets | 76c | 100,000$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 72c | 95,639$69,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,551.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 72c | 95,133$68,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,823.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets | 75c | 90,000$67,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,115.03 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 30c | 71,166$21,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,349.74 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 25c | 64,767$16,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,191.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 18c | 53,814$9,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,673.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 70c | 45,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 69c | 39,979$27,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,517.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 34c | 35,398$11,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,975.32 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls | 25c | 33,360$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405.82 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nuggets | 73c | 32,953$24,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,933.46 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 53c | 31,594$16,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,624.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 69c | 29,319$20,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.97 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 74c | 25,078$18,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.73 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Bulls | 25c | 24,617$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,154.1 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls | 0c | 23,610$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Nuggets | 75c | 22,275$16,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.67 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 29c | 22,172$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 77c | 20,850$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.2 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Bulls | 30c | 20,100$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Bulls | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 70c | 18,807$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.75 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 29c | 17,476$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Nuggets | 73c | 15,955$11,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.96 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls | 48c | 14,987$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.6 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 46c | 14,846$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.13 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bulls | 24c | 14,452$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.76 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Nuggets | 66c | 13,800$9,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bulls | 34c | 13,800$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 3c | 13,356$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 1c | 13,216$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 38c | 13,098$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.19 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls | 1c | 12,367$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 70c | 12,300$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 58c | 12,250$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.98 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Nuggets | 74c | 12,000$8,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bulls | 28c | 12,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Nuggets | 75c | 11,981$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.42 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 5c | 11,410$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.01 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 11,340$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.73 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…ca7bbacked Bulls | 34c | 10,979$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Nuggets | 65c | 10,152$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.08 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bulls | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Nuggets | 76c | 10,000$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.92 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bulls | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Bulls | 59c | 9,936$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 62c | 8,684$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.13 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Bulls | 26c | 8,631$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 28c | 8,433$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked Bulls | 28c | 8,371$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Bulls | 26c | 8,340$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.21 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 8,133$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 1c | 8,060$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 7,298$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Bulls | 33c | 7,200$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.94 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 7,199$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.66 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nuggets | 72c | 6,559$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.52 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nuggets | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 74c | 6,293$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.31 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…fbcdbacked Nuggets | 66c | 5,795$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Bulls | 60c | 5,673$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 34c | 5,600$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.14 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Bulls | 26c | 5,464$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.6 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 76c | 5,228$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.34 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…e09ebacked Nuggets | 66c | 5,185$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nuggets | 70c | 5,022$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.46 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Bulls | 25c | 4,998$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.4 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…796ebacked Nuggets | 73c | 4,841$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,762$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.48 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,723$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…f42fbacked Bulls | 34c | 4,700$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bulls | 34c | 4,650$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.09 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nuggets | 66c | 4,538$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.79 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Bulls | 29c | 4,298$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.95 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 25c | 4,234$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.14 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Nuggets | 75c | 4,130$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.5 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 36c | 4,122$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.76 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 67c | 4,070$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.81 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,050$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…54a2backed Nuggets | 66c | 4,024$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…5927backed Bulls | 34c | 4,019$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nuggets | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Bulls | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bulls | 53c | 3,740$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.87 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.38 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 73c | 3,479$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Nuggets | 72c | 3,461$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 19c | 3,333$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…3d27backed Bulls | 34c | 3,300$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,248$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.6 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 70c | 3,100$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 27c | 3,049$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…240cbacked Bulls | 34c | 3,030$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.