NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9663cde448cb7aa2575a160066d39a17b8c1cfdfc76fbbd3e09179b1cb6c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 56c | 4,336$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.39 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Bulls | 46c | 2,131$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.13 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 48c | 1,821$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 41c | 1,296$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,143$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…370cbacked Bulls | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 45c | 1,043$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Bulls | 47c | 955$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.35 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 44c | 835.87$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Nuggets | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Nuggets | 55c | 740$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 36c | 708.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Bulls | 45c | 675.56$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 65c | 655.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 52c | 498$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 56c | 474.12$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Nuggets | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 423.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bulls | 40c | 396.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bulls | 36c | 391.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 307.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bulls | 46c | 294.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 79c | 251.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 30c | 244.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bulls | 27c | 205.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls | 16c | 192.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Nuggets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 46c | 174.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bulls | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nuggets | 62c | 141.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bulls | 39c | 132.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nuggets | 55c | 132$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets | 54c | 114.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Nuggets | 44c | 113.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 51c | 99.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…c668backed Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Nuggets | 61c | 90.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nuggets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Bulls | 46c | 83.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…5ecbbacked Nuggets | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 51c | 53.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Nuggets | 61c | 52.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Bulls | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 49.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Bulls | 39c | 46.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Bulls | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Nuggets | 58c | 44.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Bulls | 39c | 44.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Nuggets | 61c | 43.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…5bb8backed Nuggets | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Nuggets | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 44c | 36.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bulls | 37c | 34.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…d1d6backed Nuggets | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Bulls | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Nuggets | 58c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Bulls | 41c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Nuggets | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 60c | 22.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Nuggets | 56c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 63c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Nuggets | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Bulls | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. BullsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.