NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0768bc354a775265da37c0261ed66cd29dd51f64845d9de2e4abd2bec377507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 53c | 40,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,999.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 54c | 20,124$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.08 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 18,866$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 16,516$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,873.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 51c | 9,118$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.78 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 7,370$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 6,786$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 3,841$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.33 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.38 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 1,778$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.75 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,377$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 581.37$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 309.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 291.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 286.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Over | 53c | 271.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 150.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 26c | 80.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 48c | 65.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 51.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…2eafbacked Under | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 60c | 40.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 50c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 48c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Over | 53c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 21.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. BullsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.