TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55d0…a380

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.84
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$14.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$19.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$14.52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$15.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$27.47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$5.45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$43.68
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$19.06
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+89.9%+$10.05
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.1
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.5
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.54
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$142.5
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.93
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.93
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.85
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.35
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Qatar Total Open: Xinyu Wang vs Emiliana Arangobacked Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.19
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+733.3%+$110
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Camila Osoriobacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.29
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.92
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.24
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$17.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34.53
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$20.18
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$33.38
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$25.29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.58
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazersbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$75.33
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$32.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88.35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$17.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$18.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BTC Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series #2 Playoffsbacked BTC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.