NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435dbb7bde05ec37c4b419bbeeeae3c3353faaacb03ecf0e9515a6c477f48fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,058,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,188,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,058,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Kings | 34c | 442,627$150,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,493.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Raptors | 65c | 200,087$130,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,419.73 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Raptors | 67c | 199,185$133,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,731.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 72c | 196,228$141,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,936.23 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 11c | 154,125$17,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,393.46 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 35c | 150,433$52,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,404.82 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 66c | 100,000$65,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,499.92 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Kings | 35c | 97,453$34,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,108.56 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 66c | 83,245$54,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,303.36 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 68c | 51,063$34,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,261.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 33c | 47,074$15,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,534.45 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 48c | 41,941$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,940.79 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 64c | 38,457$24,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,844.49 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 65c | 35,500$22,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Raptors | 53c | 33,516$17,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,607.34 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 66c | 30,585$20,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,551.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.87 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Kings | 34c | 27,646$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.81 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Kings | 47c | 27,476$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 34c | 27,202$9,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 36c | 26,671$9,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,601.57 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 32c | 23,090$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 0c | 22,359$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 34c | 20,006$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.77 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Kings | 61c | 19,553$12,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,023.86 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Kings | 36c | 19,500$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 20c | 19,277$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.78 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Kings | 55c | 18,264$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Kings | 34c | 16,636$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.3 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Kings | 35c | 15,520$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.44 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 0c | 15,414$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Raptors | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Raptors | 67c | 14,957$10,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.9 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raptors | 65c | 14,245$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.12 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 64c | 13,209$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Raptors | 66c | 13,049$8,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.66 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Kings | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.97 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 59c | 12,950$7,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 66c | 12,646$8,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.64 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 34c | 12,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Kings | 34c | 11,596$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.71 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 65c | 11,245$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Kings | 35c | 11,184$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.27 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Kings | 36c | 11,000$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.89 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Raptors | 39c | 10,852$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Kings | 1c | 10,792$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Kings | 35c | 10,531$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.99 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 10,461$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Raptors | 62c | 10,435$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.6 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 58c | 10,000$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.82 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Raptors | 68c | 9,890$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Raptors | 66c | 8,788$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.88 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 66c | 8,339$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.39 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Kings | 63c | 7,886$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 62c | 7,756$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.48 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 62c | 7,682$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Kings | 19c | 7,619$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Raptors | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 67c | 7,488$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.8 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Raptors | 64c | 7,433$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.81 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Raptors | 65c | 7,301$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.23 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Raptors | 69c | 7,272$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.87 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Kings | 35c | 7,099$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.65 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 65c | 6,946$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Kings | 43c | 6,822$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.11 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 36c | 6,800$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.85 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Raptors | 51c | 6,787$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.9 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 41c | 6,440$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.77 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Raptors | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings | 9c | 5,943$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 65c | 5,572$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Kings | 33c | 5,467$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors | 78c | 5,318$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.04 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 5,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…e978backed Kings | 59c | 5,222$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kings | 62c | 5,150$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.16 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 74c | 5,149$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.76 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…9dc8backed Raptors | 65c | 5,119$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…343fbacked Kings | 36c | 5,089$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Kings | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…1429backed Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 10c | 5,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.86 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…8550backed Raptors | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Kings | 34c | 4,998$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.34 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 32c | 4,966$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 2c | 4,948$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…9021backed Kings | 36c | 4,908$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Kings | 0c | 4,879$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…25a2backed Raptors | 65c | 4,876$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Raptors | 65c | 4,718$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kings | 36c | 4,680$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 65c | 4,585$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.48 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 43c | 4,467$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 75c | 4,276$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.57 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Kings | 31c | 4,186$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.86 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Raptors | 45c | 4,151$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Kings | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 35c | 3,982$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Kingsthis page
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.