TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under46c109,489$50,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,364.6217031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c108,255$58,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,797.331,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over51c90,611$46,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,955.6220055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over55c11,941$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.2760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under50c9,518$4,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.341,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a6…678abacked Under49c7,861$3,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,851.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c7,216$3,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under51c7,144$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.8247748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2e…05f0backed Under49c6,402$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c6,096$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.92,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf967…762dbacked Under49c5,274$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over49c5,050$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under46c4,593$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.4942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c4,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.9932051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c3,607$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.2440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over49c3,603$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.9815141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c3,259$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,048$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b0…9d9fbacked Under49c2,718$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c2,371$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.662,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c1,919$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,224$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under49c877.55$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under46c801.96$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.95550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under45c793.33$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35725452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over53c788.68$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6815756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c757.55$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3435060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c700$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c677.65$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Under45c667.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c644.36$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.352,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c600$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c555.76$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c0…0a70backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c395.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under46c367.45$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under49c282.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3315348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Under54c278.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over56c238.81$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.524946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over80c138.18$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.642657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c119$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3411443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under49c118.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over51c112.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5080744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c3…5ce1backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+188.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5d…71f0backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c91.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.462,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408055%44 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.927047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.137755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c59.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.947349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555062%31 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Over56c53.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4824363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185322.6%12 W · 41 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Under49c39.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-61.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd689…add6backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466847.1%32 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Over52c38.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.282040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under46c34.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.716947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over75c31.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9839047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c31.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ed…9af8backed Over59c30.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.655343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8516546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.311848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…6c16backed Under49c26.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c76…0d35backed Under55c24.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66a…81e7backed Under49c22.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.926548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.837037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.438048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc762…8970backed Over57c19.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d9b…085ebacked Over59c18.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.