NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc406c1b61f71289652f57a1123f6eb1190f0b5881d8b5eff5b9fc1475259afcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 48c | 44,620$21,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,022.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 52c | 32,472$16,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,885.18 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings | 51c | 30,961$15,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,730.59 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Kings | 52c | 21,026$10,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,933.24 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 51c | 14,674$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Raptors | 48c | 13,269$6,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,892.31 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 50c | 11,229$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 49c | 11,208$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raptors | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 50c | 9,963$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.79 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 50c | 9,932$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.12 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 49c | 8,853$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 49c | 7,868$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 52c | 7,242$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Raptors | 49c | 6,767$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.4 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 53c | 6,366$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 48c | 5,702$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.92 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 48c | 5,475$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 49c | 5,082$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 49c | 3,169$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.13 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 53c | 3,029$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 52c | 2,670$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 48c | 2,490$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,049$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Kings | 51c | 2,049$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,024$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.46 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Kings | 52c | 1,927$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 49c | 1,325$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 48c | 1,224$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 49c | 1,173$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Raptors | 49c | 945.42$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.44 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 48c | 914.71$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Raptors | 49c | 892$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.11 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Raptors | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Kings | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Kings | 51c | 749.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kings | 50c | 696$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Kings | 51c | 501.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.37 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 49c | 385.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Kings | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Kings | 49c | 370.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 51c | 355.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Raptors | 50c | 279.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Raptors | 53c | 277.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Kings | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Raptors | 49c | 273.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Kings | 28c | 271.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Raptors | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Kings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…6d18backed Kings | 59c | 181.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Kings | 51c | 150.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 41c | 143.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Raptors | 50c | 117.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Raptors | 49c | 109.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed Kings | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…d716backed Raptors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…aa46backed Raptors | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c6f4backed Raptors | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Kings | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…717dbacked Kings | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Raptors | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Raptors | 50c | 88.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Raptors | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 49c | 72.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Kings | 50c | 65.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…462fbacked Raptors | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Raptors | 50c | 59.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Raptors | 49c | 56.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Raptors | 49c | 53.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Kings | 51c | 53.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Kings | 51c | 53.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Kings | 54c | 52.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Raptors | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Raptors | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Kings | 53c | 46.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 48c | 45.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Raptors | 50c | 42.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Raptors | 80c | 42.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Raptors | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)this page
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. KingsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.