NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f02ed91aa54e9fc939b6b1a2025b4e174c5358189d1f9b8fbcff97e31899ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 21,934$10,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,139.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 14,247$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,653.1 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 13,538$7,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 46c | 10,723$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 8,989$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 4,448$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 3,350$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 3,199$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.59 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 2,751$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,141$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,914$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 46c | 1,297$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.13 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 1,121$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.53 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 954.06$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Under | 47c | 743.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 2c | 743.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 600$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 53c | 267$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 266.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 251.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 234.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 57c | 204.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 179.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 48c | 154.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 116.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 103$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Over | 57c | 100.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 91.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 86.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 84.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…3b93backed Over | 54c | 63.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 54c | 52.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 54c | 50.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 43c | 45.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 49c | 28.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…7b3abacked Under | 44c | 28.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…b88dbacked Over | 54c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 22.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5this page
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. KingsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.