TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf87b…180a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
387
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.63
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.37
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$830
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.66
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.56
NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$31.69
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.15
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.28
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$152.88
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.66
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$92.04
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.01
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$22.77
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$35.64
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$69.21
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$799.95
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88%+$167.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$104.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$31.12
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$224.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.69
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$550.88
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+413.4%+$287.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$317.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$38.22
Will Solana dip to $170 October 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$38.22
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$43.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+290.9%+$194.98
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$353.9
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$65.28
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$15.66
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.69
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$293.3
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.77
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85%+$247.03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$19.16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.6%+$965.93
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.7%+$86
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.96
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.9%+$340.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.2%+$69.89
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$40.92
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$55.81
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.12
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$282.87
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.7
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.27
Blue Jays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$13.2
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.12
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.56
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+154.9%+$161.92
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.57
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$207.3
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+74.7%+$27.79
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.48
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$407.72
Will Trump say "ICE" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+198.5%+$29.26
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+319.5%+$207.92
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$344.84
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$299.76
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$335.28
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$382.38
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.4%+$452.57
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37.9%+$89.45
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+112.6%+$407.14
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.34
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.26
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$55.11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+110.8%+$58.88
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+146.4%+$52.28
Will Walmart say "Brick and Mortar" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.9
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+53.4%+$17.4
Will Walmart say "SNAP" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.1%+$32.94
Will Walmart say "OnePay / One Pay" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.5
Will NVIDIA say "VR / Virtual Reality" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.25
Will NVIDIA say "Automation" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Disney say "DraftKings" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+32.2%+$85.21
Will Disney say "NFL Deal" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+74.4%+$149.47
Will Disney say "Margin" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.04
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.62
Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.8%+$97.47
Will Disney say "Competition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$124.71
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+144.3%+$568.44
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$498
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$80.17
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36.82
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$29.45
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.19
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.2%+$91.79
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.48
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.5%+$141.01
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.2%+$145.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-77.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.4%+$576.77
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.35
USC vs. Illinoisbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$298.9
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$257.77
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$328.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+357%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+64.9%+$15.03
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+649.2%+$545.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Poland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$93.6
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$137.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$509.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59%+$202.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.9%+$182.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$472.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.