MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da8b3500fec9678d872767fed6765489fc07246d887ea6217900afd7380451d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Athletics, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 34c | 61,092$20,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,771.28 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mariners | 66c | 36,821$24,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,519.05 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 63c | 22,275$14,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,247.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 65c | 17,406$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 66c | 8,114$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.26 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 33c | 7,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 66c | 6,359$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Athletics | 6c | 5,005$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mariners | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 65c | 4,166$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.65 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 30c | 3,927$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 66c | 3,833$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.38 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 33c | 3,457$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.11 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 21c | 2,665$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.44 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 71c | 2,161$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,971$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.98 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 33c | 1,903$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 41c | 1,646$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Athletics | 36c | 1,529$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mariners | 54c | 1,405$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.37 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Athletics | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Athletics | 33c | 1,342$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Athletics | 34c | 1,329$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Athletics | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,104$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.46 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Mariners | 60c | 1,063$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 64c | 1,057$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 32c | 1,045$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 35c | 858.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Mariners | 58c | 855.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Athletics | 46c | 660.13$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 66c | 639.84$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Athletics | 49c | 628.04$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 35c | 625.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 33c | 493.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Athletics | 55c | 447.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.17 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 32c | 441.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 35c | 431$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 38c | 405.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Athletics | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Mariners | 53c | 336$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Athletics | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 34c | 293.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 35c | 267$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 45c | 256.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Mariners | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 18c | 222.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…9342backed Athletics | 34c | 211.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 48c | 209.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Mariners | 66c | 196.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…f698backed Athletics | 35c | 196.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mariners | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Athletics | 34c | 188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…85efbacked Athletics | 33c | 181.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…fcc2backed Athletics | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics | 17c | 165.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae8…347ebacked Athletics | 33c | 163.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Athletics | 39c | 160.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4ffbbacked Mariners | 66c | 131.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…9bb4backed Mariners | 66c | 130.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Mariners | 66c | 125.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Athletics | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac5…d509backed Mariners | 66c | 124.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…92d6backed Mariners | 66c | 119.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Athletics | 34c | 110.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Mariners | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Athletics | 40c | 101.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Athletics | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Athletics | 35c | 98.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed Mariners | 66c | 90.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Athletics | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Athletics | 21c | 85.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Athletics | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Athletics | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Athletics | 44c | 74.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Marinersthis page
- Athletics vs. Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.