TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76cc…5e4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$226.86
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.39
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$305
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$790
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$639.99
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.31
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$860
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.55
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$560
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,169.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$560
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$251.63
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will HSK Zrinjski vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.24
Will Shkendija vs. Ludogorets end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.64
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Brann win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.66
Will KuPS win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+87.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.08
EWC Cs2: HEROIC vs. Aurorabacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
EWC Cs2: 3DMAX vs. The MongolZbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.82
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.64
EWC Cs2: Spirit vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$919.99
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
EWC Cs2: TYLOO vs. Astralisbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$198.61
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$700
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$752.76
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$72.94
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. T1backed Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Anyone's Legendbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.39
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.65
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.