TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees45c16,513$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,506.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Red Sox43c12,590$5,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,192.272751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Yankees66c12,392$8,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,169.76450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yankees64c11,148$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees64c9,003$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.9963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yankees21c6,936$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.2854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox40c6,090$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.581,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox37c5,463$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.2719649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Red Sox74c4,895$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.0188046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Yankees49c4,515$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.5921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox36c4,506$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.751,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox36c4,068$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.0543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees64c3,892$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox49c3,747$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.019,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees63c3,433$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Yankees60c3,158$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.84955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Red Sox62c3,029$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.9214052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7822948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7839041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox43c1,859$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3825551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Red Sox37c1,666$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox40c1,351$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox41c1,322$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox45c1,295$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.9221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees58c1,096$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.931,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fb…1d77backed Red Sox40c1,030$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b5…fe69backed Yankees60c1,002$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.270%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Red Sox36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ff…0a9ebacked Yankees60c998$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees58c995$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees63c983.21$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.3798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0814…1f30backed Red Sox40c970$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees62c934.97$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.271,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox38c884.03$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.19237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox36c877$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.281,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox40c871$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14b8…1235backed Yankees63c793.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox38c789$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.181,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox39c778.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox37c749.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox38c713.29$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.249645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Sox38c673.95$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox36c607$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.291,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox40c581.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Red Sox35c578.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.863240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees60c568.37$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.561,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees54c559$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2125454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Sox37c540.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yankees60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yankees12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Yankees63c495.24$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Red Sox38c494.74$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox37c492.61$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Red Sox70c479.39$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Red Sox36c446.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.016435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox74c430$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.62,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees60c404.72$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.839947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox38c396.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox39c384$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yankees62c333$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox50c301.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.754,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Red Sox38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18621767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Yankees60c268$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.88356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yankees62c263.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6740548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Red Sox68c260.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6239739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Red Sox41c250.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.371963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox35c241.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15730255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees58c219.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.141,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Sox46c217.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.271,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox41c212.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox32c209.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.558,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox39c200.28$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.812,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Sox40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox38c196.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.71,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees53c193.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Red Sox40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086354%34 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…2699backed Yankees60c165.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yankees64c155.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Red Sox32c155.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6811748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e04…dd5ebacked Red Sox38c144.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Yankees62c141$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.428355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Red Sox34c138.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.154441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Red Sox37c133$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Red Sox38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5825551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030e…20ebbacked Red Sox39c128.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Red Sox36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Yankees8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Red Sox39c125$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Red Sox38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.