TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54a1…7cb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$448.59
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.03
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$436.82
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$317.51
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,012.54
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$194.55
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$530.61
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,904.58
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+82.3%+$343.67
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$420.37
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,316Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+173.8%+$14,451.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+166.9%+$2,984.67
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$620.84
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$600
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,158.81
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,702.34
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.85
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+180.2%+$3,127.78
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Wimbledon: Darderi vs. Thompsonbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$164.11
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$156.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+469.9%+$1,409.78
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+38%+$1,099.87
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.98
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$1,005.83
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$796.73
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,282.06
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$2,163.11
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+134.6%+$921.5
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$807.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.17
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$145.71
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$329.38
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+127.4%+$1,999.77
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$791.38
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,398.76
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+112.2%+$64.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$160.01
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,813Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$988.41
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$858.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+86.7%+$371.52
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+59%+$334.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lithuania vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$345.69
Will Wales win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$1,065.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.91
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$464.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+113.8%+$2,357.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Swedenbacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+67.7%+$343
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,969Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+55.1%+$1,635.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$1,045.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Lazio and Ludogorets end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+42.9%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$312.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,035.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$816.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$267.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross more than $19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$537.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.