TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$605,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Yes72c41,537$29,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,787.422263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed No27c21,387$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No5c19,999$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9514345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No21c17,973$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.6728043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes46c17,377$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,407.322714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes72c15,004$10,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.212360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes72c11,353$8,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.74744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes64c9,925$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.651225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Yes67c9,618$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.941662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c8,804$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.041,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes33c8,780$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,882.784040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes43c7,732$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.2417244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes37c7,253$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.613253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…5823backed No33c7,013$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No67c6,966$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes10c6,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,42022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No50c5,982$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.0516242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes24c5,099$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.9928443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes36c4,864$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed No48c4,696$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes15c4,270$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.5228451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Yes67c4,041$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6c…40adbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No5c4,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes19c3,563$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No17c3,372$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes69c3,140$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.3917818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8970…36b5backed Yes18c3,120$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.24616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9307147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.821225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yes73c2,927$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+140.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes28c2,796$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.61729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6281…a691backed Yes62c2,418$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes29c2,362$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.6352750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c2,337$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.384030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes18c2,250$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84325244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf884…f5b2backed Yes67c2,224$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Yes76c2,200$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-83.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes19c2,061$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.7435932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes10c1,983$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.9129553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes41c1,915$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes21c1,911$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.1115439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes34c1,878$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No27c1,803$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1722344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd175…bb3abacked Yes70c1,707$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…c5d0backed Yes15c1,682$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes65c1,587$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes51c1,430$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.779149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes44c1,407$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.361,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Yes72c1,251$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.832050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Yes72c1,212$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes59c1,166$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.045052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c6…dba8backed Yes10c1,097$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+418.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Yes71c1,093$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ca…4faebacked Yes18c1,085$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes41c1,084$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.25757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes16c1,005$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.242020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Yes11c988.25$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Yes69c947.82$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe3…02ddbacked Yes13c902.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+684.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No26c901.16$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.311942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Yes68c880$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Yes63c863.88$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.081450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes72c852.57$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7217754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048c…6853backed Yes47c845.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…c745backed No11c805$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x119e…2129backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No48c745.77$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.73650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No30c682.62$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.799137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed No27c680.13$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes54c647$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…ede5backed Yes72c626.4$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c604$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.348650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes9c600$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2448043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2463942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes35c587.04$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.04616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe641…8488backed Yes34c583.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.93520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes9c575.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.564961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes71c566.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No70c557.26$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9879…eae8backed Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.561822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes66c539.19$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7671857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…675fbacked Yes68c536.87$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes29c527$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9414540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Yes68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes20c514.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.572,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x331a…d80ebacked No15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.671838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3954829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5804…dc41backed Yes70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes68c467.09$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.779144%40 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed No33c459.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.82050%10 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec63…85ddbacked Yes74c451.35$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes39c442$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2443948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.966243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No33c400$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.