TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$535,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Yes27c60,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes33c59,465$19,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,516.623050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…fc1fbacked Yes31c58,941$18,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,271.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Yes34c38,681$12,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,989.844436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No76c34,047$25,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,336.813458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Yes1c33,719$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed No71c17,182$12,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.782263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes12c15,893$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.4813934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes0c15,556$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb6…9452backed Yes1c15,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes29c12,309$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.822714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes5c10,451$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3214345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes32c7,947$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.942759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No70c7,299$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.6452844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes30c6,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.014040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked No69c5,989$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.896376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Yes1c5,657$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.141513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf087…0684backed Yes4c5,250$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19690%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c5,100$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9408721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No71c4,436$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.4422344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,293$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Yes1c4,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes12c3,927$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No70c3,206$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.852360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes28c2,888$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.642317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes6c2,754$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.731729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed No79c2,732$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No72c1,802$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.747943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes13c1,679$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.95253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Yes31c1,608$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe641…8488backed Yes13c1,542$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bb…4a87backed Yes1c1,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes21c1,499$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.851,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Yes28c1,439$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9612231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes14c1,436$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed No70c1,359$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No78c1,316$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.042751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No68c1,313$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No70c1,250$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0887…b235backed Yes29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes13c1,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.52920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes17c982.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.421,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed Yes31c979.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes11c882.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.33650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c865$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.658650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…c34bbacked Yes30c845$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes13c799.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-44.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6765…e43cbacked Yes5c776.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed No67c720.42$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Yes31c700$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes19c680$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.267131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes11c661.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0111230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No67c651.21$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.99137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a17…19a1backed Yes3c623.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…3685backed Yes30c601.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes5c572.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes11c558.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3816242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…4070backed Yes13c542.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes15c519.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6214540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x331a…d80ebacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes31c500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Yes36c500$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.263447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Yes27c488.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9212154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No72c465.28$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.282263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed No66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No72c420.14$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6336032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…5823backed Yes33c387$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c377.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.494459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes13c346.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes31c340.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.681,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes33c335.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…fd58backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes6c333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6cc…f848backed Yes30c332.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad96…da44backed Yes13c310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Yes28c300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8351252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…d63ebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes21c281.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes20c278$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.312729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes5c269.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.573441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Yes28c253.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064c…2de1backed No75c247.51$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes26c229.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No63c218.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4241…4da7backed Yes29c210$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…608abacked Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes28c178.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes13c171.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.312245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.