TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89f2…0659

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST5550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$121
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$242
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+70.9%+$207.5
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$98.18
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$94
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$57.62
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$60
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+78.6%+$31.72
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$64
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$316
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$225.5
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+69.5%+$217.3
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+71%+$323.8
Buccaneers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$66
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$90
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+143.4%+$253.3
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$179.8
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$146.2
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+203%+$66.99
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$114
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+92.3%+$120
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+69.1%+$143
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.89
Pirates vs. Twinsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.4
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.28
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.91
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$624.99
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$352
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$378
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$240
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$512
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$343
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$165
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.02
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$432
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$164.99
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$162.99
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$735
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$59
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+156.4%+$237.9
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+143.9%+$117.99
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.5
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$118
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$102
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$122
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+71.7%+$221.3
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$136.4
South Alabama vs. Western Michiganbacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+53.8%+$105
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$144
Clemson vs. SMUbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+122.2%+$80.07
Iowa State vs. Arizona Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$179.4
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$52
UNLV vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$71.96
Texas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+51.5%+$136
Kansas State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+81.8%+$81
Rutgers vs. Michigan Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+100%+$65
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+117.4%+$356.4
Kansas vs. Baylorbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Georgia Tech vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+66.7%+$80
Utah vs. UCFbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+300%+$450
Minnesota vs. Wisconsinbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+90.5%+$128.3
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$410
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+270%+$2,919
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$350
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.26
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$355
Sinner vs. Djokovic – Will Sinner win by 4+ games? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$378.01
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:1 against Taylor Fritz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$355
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+115.5%+$487.65
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+131.2%+$453.99
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.88
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$379
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$657.99
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$282
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.98
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$472
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Holmgrenbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Wimbledon: Krejcikova vs. Navarro (W) backed Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.87
Wimbledon: Bellucci vs. Norriebacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$503.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$111
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+49.3%+$165
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+72.4%+$96.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$265
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$160
All 5 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$814.98
Liberty vs Dreambacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$138
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$119.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Will Topuria Win By Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.