MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc637d5f34ddf577c36aa3ce8f4d889a4dcc1052069f7329993619a64e6f1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rays | 47c | 44,716$21,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,016.55 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Red Sox | 65c | 29,090$19,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.21 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 48c | 22,920$10,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,982.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 21,542$11,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,139.15 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 52c | 17,586$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rays | 48c | 5,000$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.32 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Rays | 45c | 4,919$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.2 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rays | 47c | 3,700$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.99 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 50c | 3,665$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 54c | 3,194$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 50c | 2,526$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.18 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 34c | 2,517$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 51c | 2,487$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.4 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 53c | 2,369$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.56 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 56c | 1,951$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,789$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.8 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,683$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,679$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rays | 25c | 1,500$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Rays | 38c | 1,467$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rays | 48c | 1,389$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.83 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Rays | 46c | 1,331$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.82 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…acf4backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,321$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…9871backed Rays | 50c | 1,316$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 49c | 1,221$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 18c | 1,022$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Rays | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Red Sox | 47c | 874.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.58 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rays | 49c | 861.31$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.04 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 62c | 816.17$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rays | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Rays | 71c | 700$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rays | 50c | 687.16$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 52c | 603$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rays | 51c | 564.87$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Red Sox | 55c | 526.56$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 50c | 526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Rays | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 73c | 441.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 54c | 440.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 426.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Rays | 51c | 404$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 63c | 400$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 68c | 375.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 49c | 340$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 29c | 320$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 55c | 292.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 52c | 288.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rays | 49c | 271.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 49c | 261$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 59c | 240.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 40c | 232.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 40c | 226.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 29c | 223$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Rays | 51c | 195.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 194.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 49c | 191.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rays | 48c | 189.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 51c | 185.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 37c | 177.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Rays | 41c | 170.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Rays | 41c | 169.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 51c | 164.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Rays | 30c | 154.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Rays | 7c | 152.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Red Sox | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Red Sox | 53c | 129.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rays | 49c | 119.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rays | 48c | 115.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Rays | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Rays | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rays | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Rays | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Red Sox | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rays | 48c | 99.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Rays | 51c | 97.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…8318backed Rays | 28c | 96.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.