TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x670d…fbe9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.22
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.51
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Pirates vs. Twinsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$52.8
Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.05
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$102
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.36
Braves vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.4
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.74
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.38
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Braves vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.6
Pirates vs. Twinsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.5
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$142
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+99.5%+$79.79
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.5
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+103.1%+$132
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+169.8%+$238.6
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$54
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$57.2
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.22
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.91
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+59.6%+$14.94
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Albany Great Danes vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.42
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.44
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$37.75
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 122.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.01
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$5.4
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.42
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.91
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+36.7%+$174.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.