MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaae130b9f66faf1a2516ed7a4e95352afb1c814c87a7c551d3ed552c3eb4450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cardinals | 50c | 556,828$277,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277,445.81 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 50c | 326,926$163,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,999.56 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 51c | 89,705$45,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,372.79 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Braves | 57c | 29,587$16,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,664.31 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Braves | 50c | 27,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Braves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 56c | 14,313$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 25c | 8,147$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 7,311$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cardinals | 29c | 6,700$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.02 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 50c | 6,247$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.58 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 47c | 5,074$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.68 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 49c | 4,977$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 64c | 4,588$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cardinals | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 50c | 3,959$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.39 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Braves | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 3,493$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.46 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cardinals | 52c | 3,351$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Braves | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cardinals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 62c | 1,443$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.18 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 1,039$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.89 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 62c | 909.87$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Braves | 51c | 890.96$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 60c | 793.71$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 25c | 761.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Braves | 29c | 701.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.25 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 44c | 688.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 75c | 656.54$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 607.41$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 51c | 571.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Braves | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Braves | 63c | 470$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…8d4bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 441.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Braves | 21c | 434.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Cardinals | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Braves | 26c | 340.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Braves | 47c | 294.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Braves | 62c | 292.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 279.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cardinals | 50c | 260.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 68c | 246.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves | 47c | 212.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Braves | 21c | 205.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Braves | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Braves | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Braves | 50c | 187.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Braves | 42c | 185.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 50c | 180.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Braves | 12c | 162.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Braves | 51c | 150.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Cardinals | 58c | 138.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Braves | 47c | 127.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…050fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 122.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Braves | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Braves | 40c | 115.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Braves | 76c | 103.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Braves | 41c | 102.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Braves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cardinals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…a8ddbacked Cardinals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Braves | 57c | 90.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 50c | 90.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Braves | 47c | 85.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Cardinals | 39c | 82.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Braves | 71c | 78.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Cardinals | 50c | 78.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 32c | 76.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Braves | 51c | 67.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cardinals | 74c | 62.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Cardinals | 50c | 61.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Braves | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Braves | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Braves | 52c | 52.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Braves | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.