TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3210…5c4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT5156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.62
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.27
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.3
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$59.87
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.3
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.68
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+124.3%+$683.62
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$442.17
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$241.49
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$233.01
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$684.78
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.54
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+40%+$238.97
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+36%+$124.84
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$495.9
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.88
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.68
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$15.46
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.83
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.43
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,843.7
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$368.64
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,440.52
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,930.89
Wimbledon Final – Will Swiatek win by 4+ games? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$670.69
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.35
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$151.84
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.55
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$749.25
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$156.71
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.66
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$688.23
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.37
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,265.04
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,466.08
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,153.86
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$773.18
Wimbledon: Kartal vs. Pavlyuchenkova (W) backed Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178.99
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$1,955.9
Wimbledon: Krejcikova vs. Navarro (W) backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+61%+$1,529.68
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$665.79
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+98%+$1,819.52
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Baptiste (W) backed Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Eagles backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$104.66
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$249.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.64
Lynx vs Libertybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$378.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brann vs. AEK Larnaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.