MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd414fd57b780cda62cc21a27cafa40f02249b49d3d16a4b8355b21c65d955a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Royals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 50c | 38,486$19,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,262.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 50c | 23,542$11,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,771.08 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 51c | 6,252$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.34 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Royals | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 52c | 5,479$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…9a36backed Twins | 51c | 5,425$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 49c | 4,963$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.07 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Royals | 27c | 4,305$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Twins | 50c | 3,598$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 47c | 3,508$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.81 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Twins | 50c | 3,375$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.39 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 44c | 3,251$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 58c | 2,917$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 42c | 2,703$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.53 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 50c | 2,635$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 49c | 2,425$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.82 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Twins | 64c | 1,835$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.45 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Royals | 50c | 1,513$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.43 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Royals | 41c | 1,342$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 49c | 1,307$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.24 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 39c | 1,143$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Royals | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.74 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 50c | 1,010$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.48 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.67 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Royals | 51c | 980.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Royals | 54c | 780$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 51c | 736.53$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.63 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Royals | 65c | 700.64$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.25 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Royals | 66c | 671.95$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Twins | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Twins | 47c | 554.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.83 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Royals | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 46c | 492.18$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Twins | 78c | 482.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 52c | 480$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 27c | 425.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 49c | 407.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…5ab9backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…8d7dbacked Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e02…92b9backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…c108backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…6992backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…c65cbacked Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…bcd1backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3617…6237backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…2259backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…22c1backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…dd58backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…186dbacked Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…a1ffbacked Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…8ee1backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…bddfbacked Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…cadabacked Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…9097backed Twins | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Twins | 51c | 389.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Royals | 60c | 384.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Twins | 52c | 373.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 34c | 371.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Royals | 50c | 364.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 46c | 331.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 52c | 303.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 40c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Royals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 52c | 270.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Twins | 63c | 269.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Royals | 39c | 259.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 55c | 216.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 65c | 214$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 49c | 209.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.