NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549e2e25921dfb868ef4e9ebbbdca78a356d5ef1101b7f1a9f0a703c2d103f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Heat | 35c | 15,884$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 64c | 9,638$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.53 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 70c | 3,429$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 37c | 3,050$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pistons | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Heat | 37c | 2,939$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…c34bbacked Heat | 14c | 2,900$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pistons | 64c | 2,565$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.39 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 69c | 2,439$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.28 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Heat | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Heat | 8c | 1,849$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Heat | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pistons | 64c | 1,786$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.92 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Pistons | 65c | 1,665$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Heat | 32c | 1,620$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Pistons | 80c | 1,490$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Heat | 42c | 1,460$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…dca2backed Heat | 40c | 1,305$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…7351backed Pistons | 60c | 1,305$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Pistons | 64c | 1,200$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Pistons | 68c | 1,169$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Pistons | 70c | 1,147$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…83bcbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,121$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Heat | 37c | 1,103$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Heat | 37c | 1,097$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Pistons | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…009ebacked Heat | 36c | 1,059$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Pistons | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…27d6backed Pistons | 63c | 990$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Heat | 43c | 939.19$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pistons | 64c | 846.97$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.91 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Pistons | 63c | 810$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Pistons | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Heat | 35c | 790.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pistons | 66c | 708.34$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Heat | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons | 58c | 615.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Heat | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Heat | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Pistons | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Pistons | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pistons | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 79c | 490.16$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Heat | 4c | 478.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Heat | 28c | 460.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Heat | 38c | 449.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 35c | 423.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Heat | 35c | 399.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Heat | 32c | 396.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Pistons | 63c | 388.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pistons | 66c | 371.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Heat | 13c | 353.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 36c | 352.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Pistons | 74c | 336.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 34c | 324.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Heat | 20c | 315.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6414…fa27backed Pistons | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Heat | 37c | 296.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Heat | 33c | 294.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 35c | 282.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 27c | 268.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pistons | 68c | 267.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Heat | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Pistons | 64c | 232.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Pistons | 64c | 217.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 34c | 205.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heat | 34c | 200.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Heat | 9c | 200.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Heat | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Pistons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.