TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fc0…53dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 69 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 69 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+279.3%+$15,359.94
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,700
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,555
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+145.4%+$6,460.42
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,444
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,253.1
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+222.2%+$15,553.08
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$6,049.58
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+145.7%+$15,294.9
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+279.3%+$23,897.02
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+147.9%+$12,575.57
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$7,777
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,744Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+256%+$14,702.99
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+138.1%+$7,596.43
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+189.4%+$5,114.43
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,600
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+158%+$3,511.26
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$2,700
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$2,222
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$850
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+156.4%+$2,815.38
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,600
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,650
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+305.1%+$2,709.19
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$219.15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$829.58
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$717.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,222
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,333
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,444
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$5,555
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,188.22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$5,914.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$7,777
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,888
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,284.23
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,777Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$19,998
BLAST Bounty: Nemiga vs. G2backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,444
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+298.9%+$13,748.5
Will Spirit win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$888
Will B8 win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$157
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,750
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$15,000
Will Everton win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$20,727.38
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+202.5%+$14,174.3
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$5,500
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+49.3%+$4,186.57
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$888
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$650
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+156.4%+$1,204.36
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$600
Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$525
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,288
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$303.33
Will Leicester win on 2024-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+145.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+85.2%+$2,001.85
Will Iceland beat Montenegro?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+196.2%+$3,040.57
Will Lithuania beat Cyprus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,250
Will Italy beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+170.3%+$1,617.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$777
Broncos vs. Ravensbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$699.93
Raiders vs. Ramsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.98
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$136.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$6,000
Will Georgia beat Florida?backed Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$272
Will Minnesota beat Illinois?backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$999.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$585
Will Frankfurt beat Slavia Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+108.3%+$601.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$4,444
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$888
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.