NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ffab92345d13dc3d2e8f4f0e4eab536bb5b4e944e9a5affe85e97d12e0198ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $693,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Texans | 36c | 46,394$16,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,811.51 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Texans | 52c | 36,410$18,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,843.98 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 43c | 34,483$14,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,881.35 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Texans | 56c | 28,386$15,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,949.01 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Texans | 45c | 25,831$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,680.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Texans | 36c | 22,947$8,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,312.68 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Lions | 69c | 18,219$12,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Lions | 65c | 18,000$11,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,365.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…4386backed Lions | 67c | 16,792$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,541.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Texans | 33c | 15,150$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.49 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lions | 40c | 14,053$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.42 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Lions | 41c | 12,562$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 50c | 12,280$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.51 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lions | 66c | 11,684$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.73 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texans | 37c | 8,356$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.79 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Texans | 66c | 8,145$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lions | 48c | 7,494$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.02 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Lions | 48c | 7,240$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.58 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 67c | 6,398$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.76 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Texans | 57c | 6,076$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 70c | 5,610$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.89 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Lions | 45c | 5,365$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.1 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lions | 33c | 5,004$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Texans | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Lions | 51c | 4,980$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.56 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 56c | 4,575$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.1 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Lions | 44c | 4,243$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.59 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked Lions | 67c | 4,239$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Lions | 52c | 4,008$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Lions | 23c | 3,704$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…6c25backed Lions | 47c | 3,643$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Lions | 28c | 3,593$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.99 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Texans | 40c | 3,530$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Lions | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Lions | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Texans | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Lions | 50c | 3,000$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lions | 36c | 2,986$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.48 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lions | 58c | 2,957$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.25 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Lions | 64c | 2,921$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lions | 65c | 2,895$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.28 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 54c | 2,872$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.77 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a25…628fbacked Lions | 18c | 2,760$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Lions | 45c | 2,713$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.31 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Texans | 34c | 2,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.98 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Lions | 21c | 2,647$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.06 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Texans | 57c | 2,505$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.98 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Lions | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6099backed Lions | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Lions | 36c | 2,483$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Texans | 36c | 2,357$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Texans | 34c | 2,285$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Lions | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Lions | 43c | 2,210$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.65 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texans | 52c | 2,096$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.73 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lions | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Texans | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Lions | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Lions | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Lions | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Lions | 40c | 1,879$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.06 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…e161backed Texans | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Lions | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…fdb8backed Lions | 64c | 1,576$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Texans | 54c | 1,525$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Texans | 35c | 1,493$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…097ebacked Lions | 21c | 1,352$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Lions | 42c | 1,309$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Lions | 65c | 1,166$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lions | 11c | 1,156$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.02 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed Lions | 33c | 1,143$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Lions | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…8d4ebacked Lions | 66c | 1,013$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Texans | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Texans | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Lions | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Texans | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texans | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Lions | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Texans | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…9370backed Lions | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Lions | 42c | 997.62$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Texans | 80c | 994.42$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.28 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Lions | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Texans | 56c | 960.23$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.51 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Lions | 67c | 904.74$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Texans | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Texans | 34c | 896.82$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4532…122cbacked Lions | 67c | 890.93$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Lions | 77c | 866.1$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Texans | 66c | 847.51$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Texans | 36c | 840$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…7ad5backed Texans | 37c | 801.54$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Texans | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a0fbbacked Lions | 69c | 794.01$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…e693backed Lions | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Texans | 35c | 775.36$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Lions | 63c | 774.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.