TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0b8…9272

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.67
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$234.92
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.93
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.11
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.14
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.23
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$251.65
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.69
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$452.63
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$248.1
Spread: KC (-6.5)backed KC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+125.8%+$232.2
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$220.03
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.43
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.69
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$305.01
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.34
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$193.54
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$524.21
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+49.3%+$173.16
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+66.7%+$480.37
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$168.3
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$323.44
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$174.62
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.11
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.8
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.59
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,530.03
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,228.6
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+120.9%+$559.81
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$179.64
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+83.2%+$274.59
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+82.1%+$164.29
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$126.67
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+88.5%+$372.71
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$41.72
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$199.8
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49.47
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$250.07
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$136.25
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.55
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.91
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$141.1
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.98
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.72
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$161.85
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$714.54
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$178.06
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.22
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.44
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.65
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$74.25
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.98
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.42
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65.6
Will Elon tweet 1000-1024 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.72
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53.6
Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Elon tweet 975-999 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 800-824 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$225.02
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panama vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.83
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.