NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52894c7b35adfc4624ebcd65e840e60588fac56d557b7ef404547135d64d22d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 618 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 31,641$16,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,927.59 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Rockets | 47c | 25,532$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…bd0cbacked Rockets | 0c | 24,907$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 19,881$9,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.77 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Rockets | 57c | 19,737$11,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.3 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,656$7,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.91 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 54c | 7,914$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.54 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Rockets | 26c | 7,211$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.86 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Rockets | 1c | 7,154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 6,906$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.98 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 39c | 6,484$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 38c | 5,542$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Rockets | 61c | 4,907$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…72d4backed Rockets | 63c | 4,379$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 54c | 4,228$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rockets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…8dcabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets | 47c | 3,553$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.16 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets | 11c | 3,102$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Rockets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,669$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.22 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 52c | 2,560$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.08 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,537$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 48c | 2,484$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.6 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets | 61c | 2,314$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.48 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,166$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.17 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets | 48c | 2,140$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.2 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,093$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.41 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Rockets | 54c | 1,909$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.36 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,720$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.74 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,716$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.71 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,715$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.65 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 50c | 1,654$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,626$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.61 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,579$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.69 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 52c | 1,572$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.46 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,549$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.86 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 54c | 1,541$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.39 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Rockets | 48c | 1,372$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.67 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Rockets | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rockets | 15c | 1,195$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.29 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 46c | 1,128$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.65 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Rockets | 52c | 1,101$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1f3cbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 1c | 1,088$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,078$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.81 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,058$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.54 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,046$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,032$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.88 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,013$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.29 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 999.64$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.84 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Rockets | 52c | 976.02$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.74 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Rockets | 54c | 959.32$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 950$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 906.11$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.81 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 51c | 902.93$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…46e2backed Rockets | 53c | 900.96$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 52c | 899.99$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 872.23$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.23 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Rockets | 57c | 837.83$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.03 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Rockets | 48c | 829.17$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Timberwolves | 53c | 829.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockets | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rockets | 47c | 795.74$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Timberwolves | 53c | 793.69$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockets | 16c | 716.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Rockets | 62c | 700$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Rockets | 50c | 697.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Rockets | 51c | 682.16$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Rockets | 58c | 666.61$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.15 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 52c | 651.97$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 52c | 644.75$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 48c | 628.02$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 612.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…831abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 606.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 48c | 588.37$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 52c | 522.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 520$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 510.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 50c | 504.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Rockets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Rockets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rockets | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.