TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde32…700c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST12950.4%65 W · 64 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+170.4%+$273.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+43%+$306.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$168.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on September 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$198.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on September 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+173.8%+$158.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+343.5%+$82.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33%+$47.1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+103%+$542.58
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$887.24
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+189.4%+$273.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,272.82
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+31.2%+$518.27
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$69.78
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$911.11
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+110.5%+$969.77
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$144.61
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$363.97
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+77.5%+$317.6
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,296.52
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+59.1%+$557.04
Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$608
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$683.99
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,220
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$526.99
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+79.5%+$2,765.59
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,643.51
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$754.13
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$371
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+48.5%+$634.24
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$88
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,998.32
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,249.42
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.99
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,414Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$9,650.9
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,022.86
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,481.4
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$73.09
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,762Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$2,564.29
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,698.51
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.49
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,126
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2025-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,412.19
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,657Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+56.6%+$2,069.8
Will Real Sociedad beat PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$739.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,888.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,486.72
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$4,648.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.