TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz71c56,234$40,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,070.6947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors25c25,206$6,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,202.491,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Warriors71c15,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,699.985552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Warriors68c10,100$6,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.9920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Warriors78c10,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9929858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz28c8,105$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz24c7,537$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Jazz18c6,688$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.789534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Warriors53c5,307$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.8922049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz56c4,456$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.8327546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…5bfdbacked Warriors72c4,438$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.362650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz17c4,379$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.091,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Warriors50c4,087$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.519152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Jazz49c3,951$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.1617044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz31c3,703$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.2525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors10c3,268$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.771,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c21…69debacked Warriors71c2,904$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz16c2,871$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.2245135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz30c2,857$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00065642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Jazz26c2,840$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.9717047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Jazz36c2,750$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Warriors60c2,614$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors63c2,554$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.5970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Warriors70c2,434$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.8343653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors26c2,422$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Warriors68c2,200$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49629635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors69c1,976$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.4137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors69c1,829$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.3873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz13c1,718$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.0437011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz5c1,694$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.5325016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz28c1,670$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.4362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Warriors54c1,636$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.322450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Warriors50c1,588$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz29c1,520$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Warriors77c1,453$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.0770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors76c1,205$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9111,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…43a9backed Jazz33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Jazz52c1,112$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5216838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors48c1,096$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8619033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…b747backed Jazz32c1,094$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.751050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors62c1,054$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.9188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Warriors71c1,025$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.487163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Jazz33c1,018$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.1917546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Warriors67c1,014$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.413215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz31c999.94$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9630826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Jazz29c940$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.214057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…ffdbbacked Warriors69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Jazz28c830$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5998547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Warriors36c783.42$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked Warriors71c777.94$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6313756.9%78 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz23c746.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.5136434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd9…2fc2backed Warriors47c737.28$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Jazz21c714.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.294344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors71c706.91$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.341,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors68c686.52$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Warriors78c682.05$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3421455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors69c675$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.7557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors75c665.62$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Jazz33c664.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0426934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz34c662.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.658343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Warriors69c658.97$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6722950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Jazz39c600$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3659724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors69c592.75$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Warriors66c573.99$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.533748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Warriors67c550$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36715341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors71c538.64$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.91,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ece…2340backed Warriors40c527.83$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz31c525.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa418…90c8backed Warriors58c514.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Jazz39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.824738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz31c505$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Warriors67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.994022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz32c499.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors61c497.91$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd569…ff3bbacked Jazz32c482.14$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.864928.6%14 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Warriors73c478.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Warriors66c461.18$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.381,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Jazz26c450$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33319943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Warriors70c426.66$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.664870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b3…6631backed Jazz22c423$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.831127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Jazz48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Warriors32c416.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.621,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Jazz19c410.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.327241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Warriors53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz32c382$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors70c365$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.51,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Warriors59c340.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.824329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors30c328.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Jazz31c322.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5933638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…8b82backed Jazz48c313.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.925240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Jazz32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.510240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20430251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors68c287.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz27c286.84$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Jazz30c286.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7645647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz6c286.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4315613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.