TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x520a…ab8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
588
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT51037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 510 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,468.2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+252.3%+$1,459.1
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$175.93
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$476
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$264
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$179.92
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$89.6
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$224.01
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$135.3
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$392
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+334.8%+$539
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$227.6
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$260.1
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+163.2%+$167.4
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92%+$354.5
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$184
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$197.4
Showing 25 of 510 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$204
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.07
Barnett vs. Abdelwahabbacked Barnett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$196.1
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.96
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$456
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposobacked Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.56
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowanbacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$186
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$764.64
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.5
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncanbacked Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$547.4
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere backed Charriere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.08
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla backed Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$392
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos Stanosbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$432
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$393.3
Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaughbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$77.58
Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibsonbacked Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Su Young You vs. AJ Cunninghambacked Cunningham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$290
Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruyabacked Tsuruya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$795
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$238
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$172
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$270
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$191.36
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+316.7%+$608
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+46.4%+$164.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$248.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$473.1
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$61.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.8%+$146.44
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.51
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.19
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$376
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$561.4
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+83.7%+$478.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$184
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked UC San Diego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$320.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid beat Barcelonabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.