Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf7b4d170144ed22b738d4a8013ded59eec3686bfeae5fd7c9025e9998773a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 19,654$9,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.42 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 53c | 10,410$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 48c | 10,268$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 52c | 9,540$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.69 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 47c | 7,730$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…7342backed Yes | 53c | 7,468$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 7,287$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.95 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 48c | 6,854$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 48c | 6,291$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…891cbacked No | 48c | 5,633$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 52c | 5,068$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.08 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 47c | 4,680$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.08 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 40c | 4,368$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.81 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 48c | 4,263$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,851$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 28c | 2,744$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 19c | 2,388$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.37 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 2,179$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 47c | 2,044$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.42 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,907$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 71c | 1,900$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 1,762$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.67 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 44c | 1,409$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 79c | 1,166$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 10c | 1,144$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 47c | 1,114$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.09 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 49c | 1,109$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed Yes | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 62c | 966.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 53c | 941.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 53c | 843.4$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 52c | 770.52$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 48c | 750$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 48c | 689.37$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.06 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 650.09$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed No | 49c | 608.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 513.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 477.06$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393a…b3b2backed Yes | 79c | 458.8$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 56c | 455.7$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 50c | 403.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…7794backed Yes | 52c | 403.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 53c | 389.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 52c | 386.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked No | 53c | 361.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 47c | 354.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 50c | 349.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed No | 48c | 308.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Yes | 53c | 279.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 53c | 273.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 48c | 269.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 53c | 268.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 48c | 254.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 54c | 240.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Yes | 53c | 234.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed No | 49c | 225.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Yes | 53c | 219.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…8ad9backed Yes | 53c | 219.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Yes | 53c | 217.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Yes | 53c | 213.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…3cf8backed Yes | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed No | 49c | 211.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked No | 49c | 210.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed No | 48c | 206.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Yes | 53c | 204.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Yes | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 37c | 194.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed No | 49c | 194.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Yes | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 52c | 190.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Yes | 53c | 189.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.