Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa601eb0bee488549e6b78273ddc19ca70b63b64c2e86383c93bc9418693e16df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 24c | 20,833$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 76c | 18,352$13,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.36 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 77c | 6,697$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…0252backed Yes | 11c | 5,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 4,002$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 77c | 3,703$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,070$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked No | 77c | 2,855$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 77c | 2,149$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 23c | 1,496$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Yes | 23c | 1,487$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 77c | 1,234$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 24c | 836.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 23c | 673.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…9103backed Yes | 22c | 553.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 24c | 504.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Yes | 22c | 471.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…00a2backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 25c | 404.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…5621backed Yes | 22c | 389$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 354.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…72e3backed Yes | 23c | 302.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…d02fbacked Yes | 23c | 300.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…ba47backed Yes | 23c | 292.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…29a1backed Yes | 23c | 291.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…2a84backed Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…b08abacked Yes | 23c | 278.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 78c | 259.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…216dbacked Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 23c | 219.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 213.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 22c | 210$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 79c | 202.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 202.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 24c | 191.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…a714backed No | 78c | 186$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…3094backed Yes | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 159.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 142.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…ce88backed No | 78c | 126$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…f0adbacked Yes | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…2bcfbacked No | 78c | 119.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…aa74backed No | 78c | 117.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…938bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…27a7backed Yes | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…b949backed No | 78c | 107.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…fccdbacked Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…8e9ebacked No | 78c | 99.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 97.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…95a7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e97abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…df96backed No | 78c | 86.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…0162backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…07e0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…64d3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…6587backed No | 78c | 83.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…fbdfbacked Yes | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…ce6bbacked No | 78c | 80.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 22c | 80.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 19c | 78.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e10…991fbacked Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…6c13backed No | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…4fdabacked No | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…5966backed Yes | 23c | 74.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…9073backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…bf0dbacked No | 78c | 72.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…4047backed Yes | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…232cbacked No | 78c | 71.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…858dbacked Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…9a58backed No | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.