TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06b0…afd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.1%+$247.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$246.23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+67.6%+$121.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$537.12
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Alliance (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.6%+$40.1
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+82.7%+$482.23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$190.83
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M1X KS (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$133.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$213.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+189.9%+$258.59
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$51.74
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs MIBR (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.4%+$39.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$47.84
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$205.49
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Will Tommaso Giacomel (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sturla Holm Laegreid (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.8%+$6.76
Will Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$202.69
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Flora Tabanelli (ITA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Women's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Tommaso Giacomel (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakiabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+154.7%+$154.67
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.9%+$125.92
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finlandbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.9%+$51.9
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.78
Will Joy Beune (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6.42
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.62
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.7%+$105.44
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Rei Sakamotobacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$81.61
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$165.52
Les Sables d'Olonne: Greet Minnen vs Camilla Rosatellobacked Rosatello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+134.8%+$539.12
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$205.45
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.1%+$37.68
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.2%+$61.86
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+146.2%+$52.65
Open Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.52
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.23
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.96
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+70.5%+$118.45
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jasmine Paolini win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$33.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$457.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$464.56
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$179.41
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$615.97
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$9.64
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+175.1%+$171.62
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.87
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$76.27
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+74.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+125%+$25.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.46
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+1,667.3%+$216.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.7%+$15.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$61.98
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$41.98
AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$251.46
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18.56
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$92.7
Roma vs. FC Portobacked Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+70%+$30.13
Bodo Glimt vs. FC Twentebacked Bodo Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+240.1%+$78.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.89
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$187.58
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.66
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+323%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.29
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+145.5%+$87.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$23.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+93.1%+$37.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$78.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.