TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Italyof Italy, Nepal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$848,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$780,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7f2…7027backed Nepal45c88,549$39,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,940.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Italy47c87,843$41,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,433.316546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Italy26c48,953$12,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,044.732045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Nepal16c33,059$5,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.9226130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Italy31c30,377$9,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,960.124022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Nepal73c28,805$21,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,027.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked Nepal2c23,219$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.56775.2%4 W · 73 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5115…b61dbacked Nepal17c20,300$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Italy43c16,698$7,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,460.5922552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nepal54c16,225$8,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,682.134637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Nepal39c13,184$5,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,128.59320.4%19 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Italy34c12,623$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,382.928749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Italy29c11,796$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,421.0315429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Nepal13c9,788$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2512416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Nepal70c9,100$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3701758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7e…ffeebacked Italy30c9,045$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.51520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed Nepal51c8,663$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.716349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Italy35c8,080$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick27cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Italy47c8,000$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.0633042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Nepal54c7,655$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.099851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Italy28c6,681$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.612650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Italy57c6,668$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.5336445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3746…f6aabacked Nepal1c6,174$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.66540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b2…4646backed Nepal69c6,081$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.66100%0 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Italy31c6,067$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.6413227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Nepal6c6,000$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5197…610fbacked Nepal50c5,967$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.472536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nepal2c5,728$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8329631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Italy26c5,412$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed Nepal56c5,271$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.983339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Nepal73c5,000$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.9211143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Italy59c4,822$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.0313151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Italy25c4,750$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5406833.8%23 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Italy54c4,519$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.8815335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Italy34c4,356$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.3632337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Italy27c4,120$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.7732846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb42…0b87backed Nepal34c4,100$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.999146.2%42 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…85e1backed Nepal73c4,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Nepal30c3,330$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9994025%10 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Nepal70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Italy34c2,979$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.974639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked Nepal73c2,860$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.86237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked Nepal61c2,826$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.454472.7%32 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nepal59c2,738$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.2676351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c87…0e20backed Nepal75c2,636$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-81.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Italy58c2,379$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.545637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Italy25c2,335$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.3110149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x799a…f4d0backed Nepal2c2,304$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4411342.5%48 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Nepal73c2,279$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6664761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x525c…1f01backed Nepal47c2,200$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc632…b5dfbacked Nepal45c2,110$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.351735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd237…dc82backed Nepal62c2,045$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.012321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf855…efa9backed Nepal73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Italy40c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9911445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked Italy38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.984540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Italy37c1,966$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.891942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Italy53c1,953$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.210863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6eb…2d3dbacked Nepal1c1,921$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick11cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Nepal76c1,901$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…3d9dbacked Nepal76c1,899$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.011926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nepal16c1,895$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Italy27c1,872$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.4167931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Italy57c1,744$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.345933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee6e…8dacbacked Italy68c1,700$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Italy27c1,691$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.21233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Italy49c1,684$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.659241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nepal73c1,631$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.133148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Italy32c1,579$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.59128.6%26 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Nepal35c1,531$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.087027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Nepal70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Italy26c1,387$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+176.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Nepal73c1,371$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebd…2c43backed Nepal38c1,369$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.243647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Nepal44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+134.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Italy28c1,346$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.24637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f6…ea96backed Nepal75c1,239$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ef…eeaabacked Italy48c1,215$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.836958%40 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Italy15c1,201$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+225.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy30c1,146$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.9863646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Nepal69c1,119$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Nepal68c1,078$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73627054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Italy27c1,041$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6814129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Italy24c1,028$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2311524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf652…9351backed Italy78c1,017$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.141250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed Italy32c1,004$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.768631.4%27 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Nepal2c1,004$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Nepal8c999.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Nepal71c999.97$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.986946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Nepal39c987.73$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.64669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Nepal41c956.09$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4314852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d2…8ea1backed Nepal62c947.41$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7f…53e2backed Nepal70c890$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6231942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…2fa4backed Nepal68c878.16$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Nepal29c807.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23512923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Italy15c765.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ec…00bebacked Italy36c763.67$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.752030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499a…3984backed Nepal60c755.47$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Italy68c730.69$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.824168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7be0…35c3backed Italy52c723.07$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.287855.1%43 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5448…3cecbacked Nepal71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.