TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7f2…7027

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$52.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.87
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$407.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,127.05
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$99.49
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81%+$34.31
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+123.3%+$76.46
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+74.8%+$68.02
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.6%+$83.76
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+74%+$15.73
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.2%+$42.31
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+65.1%+$16.08
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.5%+$49.77
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32%+$8.86
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56.94
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.28
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75.95
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86.25
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$447.66
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$461.37
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44.57
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$27.33
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+48.1%+$32.5
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$126.31
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+435.7%+$346.26
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+82.5%+$2,735.12
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+27.5%+$223.13
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$108.24
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45.59
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.88
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+57.2%+$457.75
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+101.7%+$90.4
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.63
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$228.81
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$67.35
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$62.44
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$142.89
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$553.24
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+289.3%+$5,222.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+241.4%+$2,832.08
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+154%+$708.32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+229.8%+$1,073.31
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,750.21
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$617.82
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,562.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.75
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$591.99
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$214.99
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$133.95
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$77.56
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,348.29
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$126
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.25
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
US strike on Syria by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+657.4%+$684.77
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+462.8%+$1,521.8
US strike on Syria by December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.28
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
All 23 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,652.38
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,858Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,974.54
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,573.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,819.68
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,990.01
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,904.18
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,109.18
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,488.21
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$5,895.42
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$7,841.33
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,344.58
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,418.47
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,494Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+157.3%+$3,924.07
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39,940.33
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,542.79
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,512Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.4%+$1,731.45
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$548.44
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+98.9%+$3,658.37
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.9%+$2,322.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.13
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,469.28
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$90.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$227.54
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$89.9
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,342Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+45.7%+$2,442.82
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$785.41
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.5%+$74.62
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$206.2
Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$370.9
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$876.94
Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28.13
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,794.05
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+60.2%+$263
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,370
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-83.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$174.99
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$154.72
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.52
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,932Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.1%+$987.5
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$301.89
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$406.47
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$423.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$120.32
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$140.6
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.26
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,529Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.5%+$1,110.13
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.93
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.19
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$434.91
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.84
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+46.3%+$161.34
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.14
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$59.03
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80.71
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.9%+$18.26
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.66
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.4%+$146.44
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+41.7%+$153.2
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.9%+$997.08
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62.37
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.19
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$895.96
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,456.21
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$109.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+583.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+583.8%+$1,121.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+268.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+268.4%+$203.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+37%+$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.