AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ceecf8f045a7535e26ad915a22e233e3fb4b3dd1b8dcdf0f48168ac07f2834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,779$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…d914backed Yes | 13c | 861.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 30c | 634.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.97 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 44c | 370.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.48 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 347.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 320.51$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3c44backed Yes | 77c | 300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…aebfbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…5fa0backed Yes | 68c | 295.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 40c | 243.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 207.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 72c | 149.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 144.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 138.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 79c | 125.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…d40ebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…9d52backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 19c | 98.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 31c | 98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 69c | 98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 33c | 97.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 28c | 96.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 22c | 89.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…fd20backed Yes | 34c | 80.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 27c | 80.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed Yes | 77c | 67.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 63.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc60a…144dbacked Yes | 72c | 62.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 80c | 56.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed No | 28c | 52.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…ac7abacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 40.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…dc60backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9585…61d9backed Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Yes | 77c | 24.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13b…a3c6backed Yes | 70c | 20.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…04eabacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?this page
- Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?No won
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.