TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90b6…a1b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+1,078.9%+$8,256.09
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$323.28
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.9
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$197.23
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$591
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$311.6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$36.25
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$173.29
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$219.66
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$40.14
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $640b and $650b on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.9%+$55.75
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.52
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$246.64
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+57.1%+$218.86
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.4%+$723.98
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$67.36
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+39.6%+$42.55
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.59
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$335.74
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$124.19
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$678.93
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$165
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$335.63
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+48%+$3,074.19
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Will the US strike Venezuela next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$368.19
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.1%+$263.56
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+142.1%+$16.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-69.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,418.55
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126.34
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$409.54
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$301.74
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$569.84
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$390.31
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$122.35
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.8%+$22.34
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$781.77
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$304.9
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$244
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$4,367.56
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,581
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.57
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$544.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.5%+$403.38
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,784Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+52.2%+$931.58
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.7%+$474.07
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$676
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,565.69
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$331
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.6%+$54.56
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.2%+$20.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.4%+$106.92
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+169.9%+$256.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$632.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$389.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+57.8%+$439.69
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.1%+$468.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.6%+$549.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+41.3%+$41.35
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$816
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: UAE vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.9%+$77.6
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.2%+$62.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$179.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$298
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked Galatasaray Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.