CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c84461649e185ca4ea0653f8bb9d463296577b1bacdb94bfc4025401f7f4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Acend, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 12,336$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.4 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Acend | 25c | 8,888$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.89 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Acend | 1c | 4,037$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Acend | 22c | 3,001$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.53 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 760.09$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Acend | 32c | 513.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Acend | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…6337backed Acend | 19c | 259.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Acend | 25c | 237.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 148.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…99fbbacked Acend | 42c | 75.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…9677backed Acend | 22c | 68.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Acend | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e80cbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Acend | 51c | 34.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Eternal Fire | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…6198backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.