TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbec7…5977

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
725
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT57647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 576 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$651.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$880.79
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$407.93
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$666.67
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$762.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$120.7
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.72
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$68.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
Showing 25 of 576 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5722.8%13 W · 44 L-10.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$114.61
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$325
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$255
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$320
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$265
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+159.7%+$123
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+270.4%+$365
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$225
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$54.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$54.69
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,348.81
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.12
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,660
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.35
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$291.67
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$9,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$9,990.19
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,600
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$5,939.4
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+71.5%+$4,168.14
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+115.1%+$10,700
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$9,500
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,350
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,639.07
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$7,500
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+65.7%+$1,190
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,160
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$222.87
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$205
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+119.3%+$271.92
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$310
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$435
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$160
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+94.7%+$1,099.37
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,131.58
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+97.9%+$6,933.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.