NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa0a429c2183b5423564b1c6294214ba01be7ffd6344d2fd3500f0e98e58481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,564,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,587,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,564,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Kings | 37c | 1,036,842$383,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383,630.54 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Hawks | 63c | 894,271$562,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331,579.07 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Kings | 38c | 480,886$182,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,518.35 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Hawks | 63c | 395,238$249,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,238.1 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hawks | 62c | 200,000$124,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,987.84 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 24c | 120,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.91 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Kings | 35c | 70,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hawks | 71c | 55,785$39,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,303.9 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawks | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kings | 27c | 46,397$12,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,665.06 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 37c | 22,041$8,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.58 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 14c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Hawks | 60c | 19,818$11,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.25 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.44 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Hawks | 61c | 16,384$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 61c | 12,742$7,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…961ebacked Hawks | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 68c | 12,000$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 36c | 11,496$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.47 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Hawks | 63c | 11,137$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.71 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 13c | 10,670$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Hawks | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Hawks | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Hawks | 62c | 8,950$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 0c | 8,323$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Hawks | 63c | 7,620$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Hawks | 62c | 7,258$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Hawks | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Hawks | 76c | 6,581$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.76 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…d07fbacked Kings | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings | 26c | 5,833$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.83 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings | 29c | 5,675$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.09 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Hawks | 76c | 5,214$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.29 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 10c | 4,949$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.72 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…512cbacked Kings | 25c | 4,920$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Hawks | 69c | 4,356$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 4,222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…589fbacked Hawks | 67c | 4,100$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Hawks | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed Hawks | 78c | 3,766$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.18 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hawks | 78c | 3,705$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.17 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 73c | 3,680$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 39c | 3,372$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.93 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 38c | 3,343$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.29 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 40c | 3,303$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…7bbebacked Hawks | 62c | 3,300$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…c9c9backed Kings | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks | 60c | 3,278$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.16 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…5963backed Hawks | 62c | 3,200$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…57bbbacked Kings | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Kings | 25c | 3,126$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…0943backed Hawks | 62c | 3,100$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…4c71backed Kings | 39c | 3,100$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks | 73c | 3,042$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hawks | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Hawks | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Kings | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…afe6backed Hawks | 61c | 2,820$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…55d3backed Kings | 27c | 2,741$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Hawks | 77c | 2,603$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks | 59c | 2,550$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.49 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hawks | 61c | 2,525$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.75 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Kings | 9c | 2,414$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Hawks | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hawks | 75c | 2,363$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.75 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 2,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kings | 38c | 2,250$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.47 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 37c | 2,238$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.72 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Hawks | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 39c | 2,219$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.89 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Hawks | 62c | 2,097$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.77 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Hawks | 77c | 2,016$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.97 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Hawks | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 22c | 1,975$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Hawks | 63c | 1,937$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.16 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 61c | 1,931$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.6 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Kings | 17c | 1,887$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 2c | 1,885$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 39c | 1,800$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Hawks | 63c | 1,762$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.9 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 32c | 1,758$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Hawks | 62c | 1,677$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Kings | 32c | 1,673$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Hawks | 60c | 1,529$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.55 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 3c | 1,430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 39c | 1,388$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 38c | 1,385$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Kings | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Kings | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…4d9cbacked Kings | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Hawks | 71c | 1,269$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf62…2904backed Kings | 39c | 1,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…d256backed Kings | 37c | 1,260$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Kingsthis page
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.