TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee2e…f422

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$102.3
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,253.31
Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,064
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$840
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$564
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100.9%+$64.07
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,102
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+64.7%+$196.4
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,343
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,773
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$714
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$918
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,496
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,092
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$828
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,144
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Nets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,508
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$560
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$990
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,022
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$680
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+82%+$585.68
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,845
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$248.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$149.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,026
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.