TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,348,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,537,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,348,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Bucks48c1,000,047$479,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479,458.478022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Bucks46c168,085$77,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,847.876654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked 76ers53c150,000$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers53c130,769$69,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,176.6424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Bucks47c106,000$49,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,429.884544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed 76ers52c97,613$50,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,854.336352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers53c90,424$47,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,875.71,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers55c85,484$46,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,610.382,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers52c75,867$39,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,433.4620253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers52c72,705$37,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,898.5687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked 76ers52c66,967$34,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,144.1415841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks48c66,962$32,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,141.6619150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed 76ers52c50,788$26,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,378.2447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5001,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks47c49,996$23,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,331.3866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bucks46c48,697$22,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,596.492,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers52c48,048$24,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,063.1892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Bucks44c46,135$20,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,299.274452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers49c45,000$22,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,949.838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers68c43,853$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,852.5334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers53c40,549$21,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,0712,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd81…9640backed 76ers70c38,281$26,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,465.37875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers45c30,216$13,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,586.5425925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks37c30,008$10,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,986.1826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed 76ers50c29,624$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,708.618744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks39c26,806$10,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,533.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed 76ers52c25,892$13,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,410.3217658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked 76ers53c24,528$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,528.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed 76ers52c23,000$11,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,039.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked 76ers54c22,018$11,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,232.9844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed 76ers56c21,842$12,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,656.1644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers59c20,997$12,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.321,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600.0996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks44c18,903$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,355.9359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bucks36c18,505$6,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,668.6434645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed 76ers53c17,561$9,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,253.887946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked 76ers52c17,228$8,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,243.0811558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers53c15,770$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,411.681,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed 76ers53c15,605$8,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,369.7748448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers53c14,479$7,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,789.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks22c13,904$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.7881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked 76ers73c13,702$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bucks55c13,631$7,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,463.343051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks48c13,500$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,479.9731445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed 76ers51c13,394$6,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.0819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Bucks47c13,208$6,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,207.761861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2218…5ba2backed 76ers52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,240944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 76ers64c12,653$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed 76ers52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7605850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks48c10,887$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.5185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers52c10,364$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.641,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed 76ers52c9,330$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.393759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Bucks44c9,090$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.66352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed 76ers52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Bucks48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9319048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Bucks25c8,389$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.5448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb560…60d6backed Bucks44c8,290$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,647.645736.8%21 W · 36 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked 76ers78c8,032$6,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.085541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers53c7,527$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed 76ers54c7,500$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4506152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks43c7,264$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.5338434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Bucks13c7,226$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.58863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bucks47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Bucks47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2904535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers57c6,549$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.041,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed 76ers53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers55c5,974$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee2e…f422backed 76ers53c5,900$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7734259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Bucks51c5,873$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99514156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked 76ers75c5,749$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.5414551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked 76ers68c5,432$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.886665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef4…34b5backed Bucks48c5,415$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a88…5bfdbacked 76ers52c5,404$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed 76ers40c5,269$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.8116848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed 76ers62c5,047$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5219388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.931,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks44c5,000$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.8910041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Bucks59c4,982$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.7316750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6d…52b4backed 76ers40c4,953$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed 76ers51c4,876$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.132466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed 76ers55c4,875$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.2913153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked 76ers62c4,858$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.5662539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Bucks20c4,736$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93012458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks53c4,602$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.7866744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd848…3d3ebacked Bucks47c4,583$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Bucks61c4,408$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.7122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda7…5393backed 76ers53c4,340$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Bucks46c4,305$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…daa9backed 76ers77c4,059$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.424858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers52c3,806$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.282,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks34c3,765$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2803,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed 76ers54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.713345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed 76ers57c3,600$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5484951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa806…c0fdbacked Bucks48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…3030backed 76ers57c3,346$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.213745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Bucks48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers69c2,941$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.751,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked 76ers73c2,862$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.6129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked 76ers58c2,856$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.2919144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.